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Prediction for CME (2023-09-01T03:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-09-01T03:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26703/-1
CME Note: Bright, wide, and fast CME seen emanating to the west-northwest in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2 imagery in association with a long-duration M1.2-class solar flare from Active Region 13413 (N09W70) and significant eruptive signature consisting of rising and "snapping" plasma seen best in SDO 304, a fast EUV wave seen off the limb moving to the east, quickly and rapidly opening magnetic field lines off the west-northwestern limb in SDO 193 and SDO 171 as well as a post-eruptive arcade signature.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-09-03T12:50Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:


 
Lead Time: 41.92 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M Office) on 2023-09-01T18:55Z
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